Projections landscape

The information presented on this website updates the information found on the former Climate Change in Australia website produced in conjunction with a Technical Report
(CCIA 2007 ) and the OzClim data portal (no longer available).

CCIA 2015 is one of many initiatives, past and current, run by the federal and state governments, universities and other institutions that focus on producing data and information on future climate projections. A list of some other of the more widely known projects is given below. In most of these cases the data results from experiments conducted using the CMIP3 suite of models.

Information portals and State Government initiatives

Coast at Wollongong

(External links will open in a new window)

  1. Climate Futures for Tasmania (CFT) :This project details the general impacts of climate change in Tasmania over the 21st century, with a description of past and present climate and projections for the future. Follow-on work is currently looking at the Australian Alps.
  2. South Eastern Australian Climate Initiative (SEACI) : Established in 2005 to improve understanding of the nature and causes of climate variability and change in south-eastern Australia. It concluded in September 2012.
  3. Indian Ocean Climate Initiative (IOCI) : This program investigated the causes of climate change in Western Australia and developed regional projections. It ended in 2013
  4. The Goyder Institute for Water Research This program was established in 2010 to support the security and management of South Australia’s water supply and contribute to water reform in Australia. CMIP5 data are used in this project.
  5. South East Queensland Climate Adaptation Research Initiative (SEQCARI) : This program provides access to information on climate projections and adaptation options for settlements in South-east Queensland. It ended in November 2012.
  6. NSW and ACT Regional Climate Modelling (NARCliM) : This project developed an ensemble of high-resolution, regional climate projections for eastern Australia in collaboration with the NSW Government. A wide variety of climate variables are available at high temporal and spatial resolution for use in impacts and adaptation research ( ).

data portals

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  1. James Cook University Tropical Data Hub : a research data repository that includes high-resolution climate surfaces scaled by projected changes from climate models
  2. The Consistent Climate Scenarios Project : This project provides Australia-wide projections data for 2030 and 2050 as daily time-series in a format suitable for most biophysical models. It provides daily data for many climate variables for individual locations and on a 5 km grid across Australia.
  3. CliMond : a set of free climate data products consisting of high resolution interpolated surfaces of recent historical climateand relevant future climate data. These are available at monthly time-scales, for 35 Bioclim variables, in CLIMEX format, and as the Köppen-Geiger climate classification scheme
  4. Climate Futures for Tasmania (data) : data portal for projections developed from the project.

Projections data from some of these projects (e.g. NARCliM), and all CMIP3 output, are comparable with the CMIP5 modelling results using the Climate Futures web tool. Comparison of results from CMIP3 and CMIP5 can also be found in the Appendix A of the Technical Report.

For some NRM clusters (e.g. see below) these local projections should be considered for use if appropriate, remembering to discuss any results in context of the broader set of model results.

  1. NARCliM : Central Slopes, East Coast, Murray Basin, Monsoonal North, Rangelands
  2. Goyder Institute for Water Research: Southern and South Western Flatlands, Rangelands, Murray Basin
  3. Climate Futures for Tasmania : Southern Slopes

Page updated: 4th August 2016